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☆ The Fed has a very strong case to keep rates higher for longer
▼ + stars: | 2024-02-17 | by ( Phil Rosen | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +6 min

Yet Jerome Powell and his central bank colleagues have rebuffed those forecasts, and markets have pushed their rate cut predictions further into 2024. And the producer price index for January came in at 0.3% on Friday, higher than the expected 0.1% increase. Jimmy Chang, the chief investment officer for Rockefeller Global Family Office, told Business Insider that it would be difficult for the Fed to cut rates in the current landscape. AdvertisementThe Fed's next moveThe case for keeping rates unchanged has gained momentum over recent weeks, but both markets and the Fed ultimately expect easing interest rates in 2024. Bank of America forecasts that the first cut likely won't happen until June, and policymakers could opt to cut rates "later and faster."

Persons: Jerome Powell, Nonfarm payrolls, Mary Daly, agilely, Joe Seydl, Seydl, Jimmy Chang, Chang, Austan Goolsbee, Goolsbee, Jay Woods, We're, Woods, Powell Organizations: Federal Reserve, Bureau of Labor Statistics, Atlanta Fed, San Francisco Fed, JPMorgan Private Bank, Rockefeller Global Family Office, Fed, Chicago Fed, Council, Foreign Relations, Freedom Capital Markets, Bank of America

☆ Stock futures edge lower after Fed skips a rate hike, but signals another increase is coming: Live updates
▼ + stars: | 2023-09-20 | by ( Pia Singh | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Stock futures traded near the flat line Wednesday night as investors parsed through the Federal Reserve's projections made earlier in the day. Futures tied to the Dow Jones Industrial Average were lower by 14 points, or 0.04%. S&P 500 futures were down 0.1%, while Nasdaq 100 futures edged lower by 0.2%. Fed Chair Jerome Powell had commented that a soft landing for the economy was still possible, but not his baseline scenario. During Wednesday's session, the 10-year note reached levels not seen since November 2007, while the 2-year yield hit its highest point since July 2006.

Persons: Jerome Powell, Jimmy Chang, Chang Organizations: Dow Jones, Nasdaq, FedEx, Federal Reserve, Rockefeller Global Family, Treasury

☆ Global shares rise, dollar rebounds as Fed seen on target for rate hike
▼ + stars: | 2023-07-18 | by ( Herbert Lash | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +4 min

Retail sales increased 0.2% last month, the U.S. Commerce Department said, but core retail sales increased 0.6%, excluding automobiles, gasoline, building materials and food services. Headline data for May also was revised higher to show sales gaining 0.5% instead of 0.3% as previously reported. Asian stocks fell earlier in the session as markets caught up with growth data from Monday showing the post-pandemic bounce in China's economy was over. Besides the Fed, the European Central Bank and the Bank of Japan also hold policy meetings next week. Expectations that the Fed and the ECB will diverge on rate hikes have caused the dollar to weaken recently.

Persons: Brendan McDermid, Morgan Stanley, Jimmy Chang, Chang, J.P, Morgan, Fiona Cincotta, DAX, Brent, Herbert Lash, Elizabeth Howcroft, Selina Li, Chizu Nomiyama, Jonathan Oatis, Deepa Babington Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, REUTERS, Bank, Federal, Bank of America, U.S . Commerce Department, Rockefeller, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, Deutsche Bank, Citigroup, Fed, European Central Bank, Bank of, ECB, U.S, West Texas, Thomson Locations: New York City, U.S, New York, Europe, China, Germany, Bank of Japan, London, Hong Kong

Focus now shifts to the Labor Department's closely watched unemployment report for May, due on Friday. The data will help determine whether the Fed sticks with its aggressive rate hikes. "The market became confident that, 'wow the Fed rate hike for June is pretty much not happening' and confidence is falling for raising rates for July," he said. C3.ai Inc (AI.N) slumped after the artificial intelligence company forecast an annual revenue outlook below analysts' estimates. Dollar General Corp (DG.N) plunged as retail companies cut their full-year sales forecasts as high inflation dimmed the U.S. consumer outlook.

Persons: Goldman Sachs, Edward Moya, I'm, Jimmy Chang, Chang, Jason Pride, We've, Herbert Lash, Shreyashi Sanyal, Shristi, Shounak Dasgupta, Maju Samuel, Deepa Babington Organizations: Labor, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, ADP, Labor Department, Unit, Futures, Reuters Graphics Reuters, Senate, Rockefeller Global, Nvidia Corp, Glenmede, Dow, Salesforce Inc, Goldman Sachs Group Inc, Meta, Inc, General Corp, Thomson Locations: New York, Philadelphia, Bengaluru

☆ A CIO who helps oversee $100 billion says the mega-cap tech elite responsible for broad stock-market gains this year are more at-risk than people think — and shares 3 areas he likes within equities fo
▼ + stars: | 2023-05-17 | by ( Lisa Kailai Han | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +5 min

In particular, Chang believes that mega-cap tech stocks have gotten overextended, and are expensive relative to the rest of the market. But looking below the surface, Chang says that most of this appreciation has been concentrated within a handful of mega-cap tech stocks. Once the recession begins to ease, Chang believes that cyclical names linked to economic strength will start to outperform. That includes tech stocks — specifically semiconductor companies. However, Chang believes that a recessionary period should present better entry points for any investors interested in buying riskier high-yield fixed income assets.

☆ Three investors on how to protect your portfolio
▼ + stars: | 2023-04-16 | by ( Krystal Hur | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +5 min

New York CNN —Wall Street has been hit with a barrage of complex signals about the economy’s health over the past month. From banking turmoil to weakening jobs data to slowing inflation, and now the start of earnings season, investors have remained largely resilient. So, how should investors protect their portfolios? Investors say there isn’t one asset that Wall Street should pile all their bets on, but there are fundamentals that should underlie their investment strategies. Doug Fincher, portfolio manager at Ionic Capital Management, says investors should brace their portfolios against inflation.

☆ The Fed is likely to hike rates by a quarter point but it must also reassure it can contain a banking crisis
▼ + stars: | 2023-03-21 | by ( Patti Domm | In | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +6 min

Investors will be looking for assurances from Fed Chairman Jerome Powell that the central bank can contain the banking problems. Expectations for Fed rate hikes also moved dramatically: What was expected to be a half-point hike two weeks ago is now up for debate at a quarter point or even zero. He said the Fed will not likely say it is going to pause, but its messaging could be interpreted that way. Depending on their [projections], I think the market will think this is the final hike." Swonk also expects the Fed to withhold its so-called dot plot, the chart on which it shows anonymous forecasts from Fed officials on the path for interest rates.

☆ A CIO who helps oversee $98 billion details how to invest in the winners of China's reopening in an environment where the wider stock market will struggle to break even for the rest of the year
▼ + stars: | 2023-02-22 | by ( Lisa Kailai Han | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +6 min

Jimmy Chang, the CIO of Rockefeller Capital Management, believes the best case scenario for stocks in 2023 is to trade sideways. Despite this, he says there's ample opportunities to be found as the Chinese economy reopens. He defines "old economy" stocks as those in more traditional industries like industrials and commodities, as well as those that directly benefit from global aging demographics, such as healthcare and life sciences. While utilities and consumer staples stocks are also typically more recession-proof, Chang believes that valuations are currently too high for both sectors. "I would rather participate in this Chinese rebound through the resource market, for example, owning commodities," he explained.

☆ The case for investing in China's reopening is strong. Here's how to proceed with caution
▼ + stars: | 2023-01-19 | by ( Patti Domm | In | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +11 min

Strategists see China's markets easily scoring double-digit gains this year. The case for investing outside the U.S. is strong, particularly with the dollar coming off its highs and looking at further downside. "While China's reopening is undoubtedly a turning point, there remain reasons to be cautious," wrote Barclays equity strategists. But still the prospects for China's economy are much brighter than they were just several months ago. The Covid lockdown has been so damaging to the Chinese economy, they want to get back to a growth path in 2023."

☆ The first quarter could determine how good or bad the new year will be
▼ + stars: | 2023-01-01 | by ( Patti Domm | In | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +9 min

The first quarter of the third year of a presidential term is consistently the best quarter for S & P 500 performance, according to CFRA data. "If everyone says the first half is going to be bad and the second half is going to be good, it could be the opposite. "The timing of the economic rebound probably starts in the second quarter so the market can look forward to it," he said. "Right now it's estimated to be down 3% year-on-year … We are looking at an earnings recession which is typically coincident with an economic recession." The second quarter is expected to be down 2.3%.

☆ 2023 could end up a better year for markets, but it likely won't start off that way
▼ + stars: | 2022-12-31 | by ( Patti Domm | In | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +12 min

As a very painful market year exits, Wall Street's strategists expect 2023 will end on a much better note —even if the path there continues to be highly volatile. I think the Fed will likely be overtightening the economy into this recession." So rates could rise before heading lower in the second half, and that environment will be better for stocks. Rieder said 2023 is going to a banner year for fixed income, and "not so much because it's going to be rates rallying so much," he said. "I think rates still have some upside," said Rieder.

☆ Stocks rise on hope of revived China demand, oil slips
▼ + stars: | 2022-12-08 | by ( Herbert Lash | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +4 min

Wall Street rose on enthusiasm over a rally in U.S.-listed shares of Chinese companies, while copper climbed on hopes of increased demand from China, its biggest consumer. "The realization that China is going to be back online and producing product will help bring down inflation and that's a good thing. Treasury yields rose as investors awaited a report next week on inflation and the Fed meeting. Global bond yields, which move inversely to price, have tumbled in recent weeks on expectations of slower growth or recessions will curb the rise in rates. Gold prices edged higher as the dollar eased and investors positioned themselves ahead of the U.S. inflation data and the Fed's policy announcements.

☆ Stocks rise on hope of revived China demand, oil wobbles
▼ + stars: | 2022-12-08 | by ( Herbert Lash | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +4 min

Wall Street rose on enthusiasm over a rally in U.S.-listed shares of Chinese companies, while copper climbed on hopes of increased demand from China, its biggest consumer. "The realization that China is going to be back on-line and producing product will help bring down inflation and that’s a good thing. "The bulls can spin the narrative that both inflation expectations and real yields are coming down. Treasury yields rose as investors awaited a report next week on inflation and the Fed meeting. Gold prices edged higher as the dollar eased and investors positioned themselves ahead of the U.S. inflation data and the Fed's policy announcements.

☆ The treasury market is screaming recession is coming, says Rockefeller's Chang
▼ + stars: | 2022-11-28 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailThe treasury market is screaming recession is coming, says Rockefeller's ChangBarry Bannister, chief equity strategist at Stifel, and Jimmy Chang, Rockefeller Global Family Office CIO, join 'Squawk on the Street' to discuss the bear market rally, the difference in the narrative between treasuries and equities, and more.

☆ Watch CNBC's full interview with Stifel's Barry Bannister and Rockefeller's Chang
▼ + stars: | 2022-11-28 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailWatch CNBC's full interview with Stifel's Barry Bannister and Rockefeller's ChangBarry Bannister, chief equity strategist at Stifel, and Jimmy Chang, Rockefeller Global Family Office CIO, join 'Squawk on the Street' to discuss the bear market rally, the difference in the narrative between treasuries and equities, and more.

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